MYTH-22. YOU HAVE TO REACH INTRINSIC VALUE IN INVESTING


1. Intrinsic value is the discounted value of the cash that can be taken out of a business during its remaining life.
2. That definition by itself opens up a Pandora’s box, as estimating how much cash the business can generate during its remaining lifetime can be baffling alone.
3. If you manage to do that, despite its problems, then there is the grey area of using discounting – what rate to use?
4. At best, intrinsic value is an estimate, rather than a precise figure, and it is additionally an estimate that must be changed if interest rates move or forecasts of future cash flows are revised.
5. A lesser understood concept is that the intrinsic value can sometimes be much lower than the company’s stated book value, and we have no system for estimating the correct value of all businesses.